it will.īelow is a product from NCEP (National Centers for Environmental Prediction) which blends several different models together to get an averaged estimation of snowfall totals. It keeps the main circulation tugged a bit closer to the four-corners, and as a result, has about double the amount of moisture of the EPS which drives the low further southwest.Īnd I get it, in the grand scheme of the atmosphere, it wouldn't seem like a shift of a 100 miles here or there is going to make much of a difference. The GEFS solution's difference looks small on this map, but from pure distance standpoint, is nearly 250 miles northeast of its counter-part below. Regardless of what model you look at, this storm doesn't look like it will be in and out like most we have seen so far this year.īelow are animations of the upper-level storm track from the GFS and EURO ensemble charts, GEFS and EPS for short, respectively. If we can get this thing to set up a bit further northeast, we may see accumulating snow prospects linger into Friday too. If the system digs too far southwest too quickly, upslope will shutoff quicker and hamper snowfall production along the Front Range. Still, some data has trending a bit further back northeast in recent runs, and the track is enough in the ballpark that this one will demand our attention over the next few days. It does see a few moments in some sweet spots, but it also does A LOT of digging, in some cases as far south as Yuma, Arizona – and for the uninitiated, that's not good for us snow lovers along the northern Front Range. Cold air would lead to refreeze issues.ĭigging out, staying chilly, light snow showers throughout the day.Īt this point, we've felt a little uneasy with how far south some of the data is tracking the upper low, and this will be the biggest concern with any high-end potential models are trying to produce with this system. Snow will continue, slowly lightening up to a moderate clip by the evening rush, impactful conditions still possible.Īccumulating snow is generally winding down. Snow continues, heavy at times, potential for high-impact to travel, airline delays etc. Rain transitions to snow after sunset, with snow spreading south over the Palmer Divide and into southern Colorado. Rain showers pick up shortly after noon for the northern front range and metro Denver. Snow quickly picks up in the northern mountains, travel deteriorates quickly. Now that that's out of the way, a quick/dirty timeline for this storm would be something like: The timeline below is just a rough sketch of potential conditions based on the data we have now, and the forecast WILL see changes as we approach storm time. Things will go downhill quickly Wednesday afternoon as a cold front slides by.īefore you read any further, just know that we still have uncertainty with this storm. The next few days are great! Hope you're going to get out and enjoy that extra hour of evening sunlight today, temps are perfect and we'll stay mild into the start of the work week.

until Saturday! Now, not even 96 hours out from this storm we cannot confidently call for a 2-3 day monster snow event, BUT, we do have increasing confidence in a storm that should bring impactful winter weather to parts of the region. This week, however, arriving right on time, could be a mid-March special.Īny of you model geeks, us included, have seen some of the booming snowfall potential with the storm set to come through around Thursday, potentially lasting well into Friday, and in some instances. A few busts, a few booms and a few in-betweens. There were a few pockets of moderate to heavy snowfall Friday evening (see video below), but for the most part those bands didn’t linger anywhere too long so fluffy snow totals remained on the lighter side.īoulder at 6:50PM: 18☏, heavy snow falling, and the 2' mark is gone! 📏☃️ #COWx #Boulder 've kind of seen it all so far this winter and early meteorological spring in Colorado. BoulderCAST Weather 🏔️❄️ February 17, 2024 Don't travel unless you like a thrill! #COWx /i2VW1z5hWo There may also be a glaze of ice under the snow following some drizzle earlier. With the ice layer underneath, travel by car or foot became extremely slick over much of the Denver Metro area.Ħ:30PM: Roads are becoming slick and snow-covered very quickly - even major roads. After some patchy freezing drizzle Friday afternoon, snow arrived quickly by early evening. A quick-hitting system from western Canada dropped south and across the Front Range Friday night. While this weekend’s storm was far from the easiest forecast we’ve done, it was comparatively easier than the prior two weekend dumpings.

Snowfall totals denver